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Public Polls Results from League of Women Voters Study on Homeland Security
Battleground 2006 Poll
Results From Survey on Immigration Policy Released
Battleground 2006 Poll
Voters in Washington DC Speak Out on Smoke-Free Workplaces, Restaurants, and Bars
LSPA Releases Poll for The One Campaign
Battleground 2004 - Week 7 tracking
Battleground 2004 - Week 6 tracking
Overview of Nader Voters
Battleground 2004 - Week 5 tracking
Battleground 2004 - Week 4 tracking
Battleground 2004 - Week 3 tracking
Battleground 2004 - Week 2 tracking
Battleground 2004 - Week 1 tracking
Battleground August 2004
Battleground June 2004
Battleground April 2004
Battleground June 2003
Battleground June 2002

Battleground Week 2 Tracker
September 26, 2004

WASHINGTON, D. C. -The George Washington University Battleground 2004 Tracking Poll continues to show an intensely divided electorate. The aided Presidential ballot stands at 50% for Bush and 45% for Kerry. This survey finds fully 83% of "likely" voters have made a "definite" choice for President. President Bush continues to enjoy a slight advantage over these highly intense supporters - 44% of "likely" voters are "definitely" voting for Bush and 39% of "likely" voters are "definitely" voting for Kerry.

On voter views about the Presidential candidates, 55% likely voters have a favorable view of President Bush and 42% have an unfavorable view of him. Regarding Senator Kerry, 50% of likely voters have a favorable view of him and 46% of likely voters have an unfavorable view of him.

On the handling of key issues, voters believe that Bush would do a better job safeguarding America from a terrorist threat (57%-34%), dealing with Iraq (54%-39%), and keeping America prosperous (47%-44%). Voters believe Kerry would do a better job creating jobs (49%-42%).

On personal qualities, voters believe that Bush better represents the qualities of strong leader (56%-35%) shares your values (50%-43%), and leading America in the right direction (49%-44%).

On key issues, the top concerns of voters continue to be the War in Iraq/terrorism (36%) and the economy/health care (30%).

The generic Congressional ballot has moved to a statistical tie with Democrat at 44% and Republican at 43%.

Voters continue to be concerned about the direction of the country - 53% say the country on the wrong track and 39% say the country is headed in the right direction.

Republican pollster Ed Goeas said, "The dynamics giving George W. Bush a strategic advantage have continued and he is showing fifty percent (50%) on the ballot for the first time in this year's Battleground polling program. It is possible that voters may be on the verge of electing a President with a majority of the vote for the first time in sixteen years."

Looking to the November election, Democratic pollster Celinda Lake said, "Bush's convention bounce having all but dissipated, the race has returned to a narrow margin with intense division and polarization on either side, and it is even closer in the Battleground states. The race is still a toss-up as the candidates head into the next, and perhaps last, defining phase of this campaign - the debates."

his bipartisan GW-Battleground 2004 poll surveyed one thousand registered likely voters nationwide and yields a margin of error of + 3.1%.

The George Washington University is the sponsor of the "2004 Battleground Poll," a highly regarded, bi-partisan election survey conducted by top polling firms Lake Snell Perry and Associates and The Tarrance Group. GW's role in the Battleground Polls is guided by the University's Graduate School of Political Management. The University was also recently recognized as the "Hottest School for Political Junkies" in the 2005 Kaplan/Newsweek How to Get Into College Guide for the second time in three years.

For more information about the poll, please contact Daniel Gotoff at Lake Snell Perry & Associates at (202) 776-9066 or e-mail Daniel at dgotoff@LakeResearch.com.

Democratic Strategic Analysis by Celinda Lake

Republican Strategic Analysis by Ed Goeas

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